Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 12 May 2026 at 19:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 29 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued May 12 at 2:24PM EDT until May 12 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
An estimated 956,307 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- May 12, 2026 · score 76 · 5.1 km
- August 30, 2026 · score 52 · 5.7 km
- July 10, 2026 · score 52 · 5.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 72 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 72 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 28.3733, -82.6917 |
| Nearest City | Bayonet Point (5 km) |
| Population Exposed | 956.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | catastrophic |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-12T18:24:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3b36b2ab07e296a696a65e9383c2f355 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Hernando, FL; Pasco, FL; Pasco, FL |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued May 12 at 2:24PM EDT until May 12 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| Expires | 2026-05-12T15:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3b36b2ab07e296a696a65e9383c2f355bfb4b1b4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d56d2b93b4cb1f915c04601c8b887287977917c2.001.1"] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Bayonet Point?